Monday 10 December 2018

Social Media and Zimbabwe Politics


By Dr Samuel Chindaro


The 2018  Zimbabwe elections saw an unprecedented use of social media for political campaigns, debates, discussions, disseminating of information, and news provision.  The internet and social media, supported by the revitalised democratic approach by the new dispensation, created a level of transparency in the election process that has never existed in Zimbabwe before. It was evident that social media will continue to play an important role in the future political discourse of the country.

Zimbabwe’s political landscape has changed significantly in the last year with the exit from the political field of the two main actors, Mugabe and Tsvangirai, and the fresh approach by President Mnangagwa; and the internet has played a significant role in this transformation. Social media is now a serious factor in political campaigns in the country and in the way people think about issues.

Taking the lead, in an unprecedented move by a Zimbabwean President, was the President himself who interacted directly with people via his official Facebook page and Twitter handle. He took time to respond to questions posted on his page; providing previously unimaginable access to the country’s leadership.  The opposition leader, Nelson Chamisa was also active in this respect, using the platforms to mobilise his support.

Zimbabweans embraced the opportunity to interact more easily with candidates and officials without attending live events which were streamed live by different online media outlets, individuals and organisations. Some politicians availed themselves temporarily on various Whatssupp groups in question-and-answer sessions. It was proof that the availability of alternative ways to ensure coverage of political parties have evolved so much that access to “state media” as a judgement of election fairness is not only retrogressive and unreasonable, but also irrelevant in this digital age!

For political leaders, it was an incredibly efficient way to quickly explain events, ideals and plans. Unfortunately, at the same time, social media offered false comfort to some politicians; as evidenced by events that unfolded. Several candidates were lured into a false sense of comfort and popularity by the number of followers, number of re-tweets and ‘likes’ neglecting the high likelihood that most these were from either diasporans, people outside their constituencies or simply unregistered voters, and got the shock of their lives when elections came around! Additionally; there were also several politicians and activists who were caught “offside” by the unforgiving digital footprint; as their previous posts came back to haunt them when they shifted positions or contradicted themselves.

The unprecedented attention given to the Zimbabwe elections under the new dispensation brought with it a mixture of participants which included international observers, self-exiled politicians and self-appointed political commentators, experts and armchair critics, most of whom were very active in social media. It was apparent that even though social media platforms are extremely powerful with a huge reach, they also have the potential to be used by political mis-contents and criminals to cause political harm and social disturbances.

Even though social media can enrich the political process, it also comes with dangerous possibilities. Following in the footsteps of the Trump-Russia-Facebook fake news scandal; it was evident that political and social harm could be inflicted on Zimbabwe by the misuse of social media to spread fake news. The election process witnessed a flurry of fake news, sensationalisation of issues and incitement of violence among other vices. It was proof that Facebook and Twitter are no longer just social networks, but information media that is dangerously easy to use as a weapon.

The platforms offered a rich environment for those who wanted to increase polarisation and incite violence; with self-exiled politicians who had fallen out with the new dispensation, and opposition activists playing a prominent role. For example, social media activists; whilst hiding behind their keyboards and/or their diaspora bases, were able to abet the incitement of some people to start violent protests in the guise of “defending their vote” even though the election results had not yet been announced.

Nothing online is always exactly as it seems and Whatssupp, Facebook and Twitter platforms were the most prevalent source of fake news before, during and after the elections in Zimbabwe. Like accusations of witchcraft, some of the fake stories got repeated often enough that they appeared to be legitimate. It was often difficult to distinguish articles that were misinformed from those that had been carefully researched on fact. The constant stream of links and rumours about political leaders and candidates was a mixture of truth, lies, satire and speculation with several of them being based on pure fabrications.

Typical examples of fake news were a video purporting to prove ballot stuffing, which was letter identified to be one from Kenya; and another one which was being promoted to prove post-election violence which was letter discovered to have originated from Nigeria! A lot of fake pictures and videos were also circulated and shared with the various observers and organisations through tagging, mostly of violent scenes from incidents far away from Zimbabwe, which formulated opinions of some of the gullible individuals, especially those that had pre-conceived perceptions of Zimbabwe. The opposition were caught in this web of fake news and fabrications to an extent that they tried to unwisely use it as evidence in their election challenge!

This brings us to one of the hidden forces that operated on social media; which was “confirmation bias”.  “Confirmation bias” is defined as the tendency of people to seek out only information they agree with. It limits people’s ability to question information that confirms or upholds their beliefs and people are inclined to interpret new evidence in light of beliefs associated with their social groups.

Listening to one Georgina Godwin on Sky News presenting opinions based on her Twitter feed as facts reinforced the “confirmation bias” phenomenon. Some of the observer reports were also based on unverified reports from their Twitter feeds which they accepted as facts most likely based on the “confirmation bias” syndrome. They became part of small, deeply polarised groups of individuals who tended to believe everything they heard, no matter how divorced from reality. Surely how would you expect an observer from a country that had pre-judged the elections by imposing sanctions on the country before the elections not to suffer from “confirmation bias”?  

The majority of followers on social media probably share common outlooks with the majority of feeds within these groups tending to express the same point of view. Inevitably some people became fuelled by the belief that only their views existed as they were never exposed to contradictory ones. Confirmation bias limited people’s ability to question information that confirmed or upheld their beliefs, unfriending and blocking people who posted contradictory opinions, creating an echo chamber.   It was common to be told “to go and play with your friends” if you did not echo the views of the group. It is this pre-selection and confirmation bias that fake news exploited with precision!

For this reason, social media reinforced opinions and made it more difficult for people to entertain
alternative points of view. It helped to make people more opinionated and less tolerant of others. The result was social media with a political discourse that was devoid of real ideas and broken into several polarised groups, which were deeply divided on partisan grounds, even on fundamental political issues.

The Zimbabwean experience reinforced the notion that social media can be a threat to the public’s political knowledge by constraining contact with diverse viewpoints and alternative beliefs. To overcome some of the negatives of using social media, one should make an effort to connect with an assortment of people with diverse viewpoints. Politicians should continue to embrace the opportunities that social media brings as a valuable source of information and use it to manage their own campaigns, publicise and initiate important socio-economic issues. It is incumbent upon everyone involved in the political process to make sure social media power is used to harness everything good about the Zimbabwean political system, rather than to hasten political trends that are hurting the country.

Without sufficient regulation, there is a clear danger as social media can be powerful enough to brainwash, incite, misinform and polarise Zimbabweans. This should of cause be carefully balanced with allowing open debate and protecting the freedom of expression.

Despite concern about this new information warfare and its potential negative impact on Zimbabwean politics, there are reasons for optimism. Knowledge of how fake news and confirmation bias affects us can ultimately change behaviour, helps us to not succumb to the manipulation, which ultimately strengthens democracy. It is easy to be influenced by misinformation posted by friends, leaders and followers, even if they do not intend to mislead you. It is therefore necessary to use a great deal of discernment before believing anything you read on social media.

We can use social media as a medium for common ground on important issues plaguing the country and as a place of healing.  At the very least, we should use social media to better understand those who voted differently than we did. However, this requires commitment to civility and tolerance of disagreement and self-control.

If we use our social networks to promote objectivity and civility, instead of partisanship and volatility, then we turn social media into truly one of our most important and powerful tools. If your posts are expressions of ridicule for those who support opposition politicians, ask yourself how much value you are getting from the time spent writing those tweets or comments.

Dr Samuel Chindaro holds a PhD in Electronics (University of Kent), MSc in Electronics and IT (University of Birmingham) and a B.Eng. Hons in Electronic Engineering (NUST). He is also a Chartered Engineer (Institution of Engineering and Technology). He can be contacted on S.Chindaro@gmail.com

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